Home Sport MMA UFC 299 Picks - Sean O’Malley vs Marlon Vera Prediction

UFC 299 Picks – Sean O’Malley vs Marlon Vera Prediction

Marlon Vera vs Sean O’Malley

UFC: Saturday, March 9th at 10:00 PM ET

Betting Odds: O’Malley -258 / Vera +210 — Over/Under: 4.5
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Sean O’Malley and Marlon Vera face off on Saturday for the bantamweight title at UFC 299 at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida. These two fighters faced off in 2020 and it was Vera that finished the fight by knockout late in the first round. 

Sean O’Malley vs Marlon Vera Odds

Sean O’Malley is the favorite sitting at -258 while Marlon Vera is the underdog sitting at +210. The total rounds sits at 4.5 with the over paying out at -166.

Sean O’Malley Betting Preview

Sean O’Malley sits with a 17-1-0 record and his only loss came against Vera. In August of 2023, O’Malley faced off against Aljamain Sterling and it was early in the first round that he was able to win the fight by knockout. O’Malley comes into this fight averaging 7.25 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.51 significant strikes per minute. He usually keeps the fight on the feet and is averaging 0.43 takedowns every 15 minutes. He stops 62 percent of his takedown attempts. O’Malley likes to be one of the more exciting fighters, but he needs to fight this one smart, or he could be knocked out again. Check out my main card fight predictions here. 

Marlon Vera Betting Preview

Marlon Vera comes into this fight with a 23-8-1 record overall and in August he was able to beat Pedro Munhoz. Veras outstruck O’Malley 141-113 and that was enough for the unanimous decision victory. He is averaging 4.37 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 5.16 significant strikes per minute. He is averaging 0.58 takedowns every 15 minutes and he is successful on 39 percent of his takedown attempts. He also stops 70 percent of his opponents’ takedown attempts. 

Sean O’Malley vs Marlon Vera Prediction 

O’Malley wants to put on a show and he’s going to be cocky that he can get the job done this time against Vera. Vera knows that he can hit O’Malley and he’s going to do that. Vera is going to get in plenty of shots against O’Malley and he already knows what it’s like to knock him out. The reign for O’Malley is going to be short, as Vera is going to get the job done here. Back Vera on the money line.

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