The 2024 NIT championship game features two teams that both believe they should have been in the March Madness bracket and proved so with their play in this postseason tournament, as the Seton Hall Pirates take on the Indiana State Sycamores in Indianapolis.
The March Madness odds are slightly in favor of the Big East team, as they have rolled through this tournament with three straight wins by double-digits. However, the Sycamores have been America’s darling team with a few key players that get a lot of love.
Find out what my March Madness picks are for this Thursday, April 4 NIT Championship game as I take a deep dive into the March Madness props.
Our Indiana State vs. Seton Hall picks have a full breakdown of this matchup!
Indiana State vs Seton Hall March Madness props
- Ryan Conwell Over 2.5 threes (-140 at bet 365)
- Julian Larry Over 4.5 assists (-120 at bet 365)
- Kadary Richmond Over 16.5 points (-110 at bet 365)
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Indiana State vs Seton Hall March Madness props
Prop bet #1: Sycamore three
The Sycamores love the long-ball, tallying 38.5% of their points from three – which ranks 19th nationally. Meanwhile, the Pirates allow their opponents to shoot 25.0 3-pointers per game (321st) and allow 8.2 made threes per contest (291st). They’ve allowed 27.5 three attempts per game from their opponents in the NIT thus far.
The Sycamores have averaged 10.5 made threes per game in the NIT thus far, and the best shooter in all four games has been Ryan Conwell. He’s shot 41.7% from downtown on the season, averaging 2.9 made threes per game. In the NIT, he’s 17/33 from downtown with at least three made threes in every game.
While Seton Hall’s NIT opponents have shot a terrible percentage from three in each game, none are of good as shooters as the Sycamores. The volume will be there for Conwell, and the way he has been shooting means that his chances of making three or more threes are very high.
Ryan Conwell prop: Over 2.5 threes (-140 at bet 365)
Prop bet #2: Don’t pass this up
With Conwell making all the threes, someone is going to have to get him those shots with great passing. That guy should be Julian Larry. The Indiana State guard is averaging 4.8 assists per game this season and has averaged 5.5 assists in the NIT. He also averages 35.6 minutes per game in the tournament.
The Sycamores average 17.8 assists per game as a team, which ranks ninth nationally. The Pirates allow 14.0 assists per game and have allowed the same amount in the NIT. However, three of those games were very low-scoring offenses, and they allowed 18 assists to Saint Joseph’s in the first game, which was the only game in which their opponent went over 70 points.
Indiana State has not scored fewer than 70 points since a February 17 road game in the regular season. They also have averaged 20.5 assists per game in the NIT thus far. The minutes and opportunities will be there for Larry to hit his assists total, and I would be quite surprised if he didn’t get at least five in this game.
Julian Larry prop: Over 4.5 assists (-120 at bet 365)
Prop bet #3: Rich get richer
Seton Hall will need to attack the rim. The Pirates score 55.5% of their points from within the arc, which ranks 46th nationally. The Sycamores allow their opponents to attempt 40.6 field goals from the 2-point range, which ranks 329th in the country.
The player most likely to take advantage of this mismatch for the Pirates is Kadary Richmond. He averages 11.1 2-point attempts per game this season and shoots 47.1% from inside the arc. After a slow start in the first two NIT games, he scored 16 and 15 points in the last two games, with 10 and 12 of those points coming from 2-point baskets.
Richmond’s point total is set higher than he has scored all tournament, but it’s understandable given the extra volume he should see this game. His minutes have been there in the NIT, averaging 34.5 per contest. If Richmond is aggressive, he could easily surpass 20 points in this matchup.
Kadary Richmond prop: Over 16.5 points (-110 at bet 365)
Not intended for use in MA.
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