Gonzaga Bulldogs (27-7 SU, 16-15 ATS) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (31-4 SU, 18-16-2 ATS)
When: Friday, March 29th, 7:39 PM (ET)
Where: Little Caesars Arena, MI, Detroit
TV: TBS
Point Spread: GNZG +5.5/PUR -5.5
Total: 154.5
Money Line: Gonzaga Bulldogs +184/-230
Notable Injuries
Bulldogs: No reported injuries.
Boilermakers: No reported injuries.
Expert handicapper Rich Crew takes a deep dive into the statistics and lays out his top five reasons why Purdue will cover the spread in their Sweet 16 matchup against Gonzaga on March 29th, 2024.
Purdue’s Key Advantages
Scoring and Efficiency: Both teams are evenly matched in points per game, with Purdue at 83.9 (9th) and Gonzaga at 83.9 (10th). However, Purdue’s offensive system, which leads the nation in assists per game (18.8, 1st), coupled with their top ranking in assists/field goal made (0.654, 2nd), demonstrates their superior ball movement and shooting efficiency. This teamwork and efficiency are crucial against Gonzaga’s defense.
Rebounding: Purdue boasts a strong rebounding presence, ranking 6th in total rebounds per game (40.8) and 3rd in offensive rebound percentage (37.4%). This ability to control the boards, especially on the offensive glass, grants Purdue more second-chance points, a critical factor in close games.
Three-Point Shooting: The Boilermakers lead the nation in three-point percentage (40.9%, 1st), which contrasts sharply with Gonzaga’s defensive vulnerability from beyond the arc, allowing 33.8% (171st). Purdue’s proficiency from deep could stretch Gonzaga’s defense and create scoring opportunities.
