Home Sport CBB Final Four Picks: Alabama vs. UConn

Final Four Picks: Alabama vs. UConn

Alabama Crimson Tide (24-11 SU, 21-15 ATS) vs. Connecticut Huskies (35-3 SU, 25-12-1 ATS)

When: Saturday, April 6th, 8:49 PM (ET)

Where: State Farm Stadium, AZ, Glendale

TV: TBS

Point Spread: ALA +11.5/UCONN -11.5

Total: 160.5

Money Line: Alabama Crimson Tide +495/-730

Notable Injuries

Crimson Tide

  • Latrell Wrightsell Jr. (Probable) Head
  • Davin Cosby Jr. (Out) Foot

Huskies

Recent Form

Alabama enters this game as 11.5-point underdogs, and they have gone 2-7 in their nine games as the underdog this season. They are also 8-8 on the road this year, and their average scoring margin on the road is -0.2 points per game. Over their last 10 games away from home, the Crimson Tide have gone 6-4.

Overall, Alabama has gone 24-11 this season, and they are currently on a four-game winning streak. They are coming off an 89-82 win over Clemson, and they have gone 13-6 in Southeastern Conference play. For the year, they have been favored in 27 of their 35 games, going 23-4 in those matchups.

Alabama’s over/under record this season is 27-9, and the average scoring total in their games is 171.8 points. The average over/under line in their games is 164.1 points, resulting in an average margin of 7.7 points compared to the over/under line. So far, 27 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 160.5 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1, with an average scoring total of 159 points.

Alabama has an ATS record of 21-15 this season, including a mark of 7-9 on the road. As the underdog, the Crimson Tide have gone 3-6 vs. the spread in 9 games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Alabama has an ATS record of 3-7.

Connecticut enters this game as the heavy favorite, as they have been in 37 of their 38 games this season. Their overall record is 35-3, and they have won 11 straight games.

At home, the Huskies are a perfect 25-0 this season and their average scoring margin at home is +23.9. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 10-0.

So far this season, the over/under record for Connecticut games is 17-21. On average, their games have finished with 144.7 points compared to an average over/under line of 144.9, resulting in an average margin of -0.2. Today’s over/under line of 160.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season, and over their last three games, their games have finished with an average of 132 points.

This season, Connecticut has been solid against the spread with a record of 25-12-1. At home, their ATS mark is 17-8, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Huskies are 9-1 vs the spread. Overall, UConn has gone 25-11-1 vs the spread this season as the favorite.

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