Home Sport CFB Duke’s Mayo Bowl Pick: UNC vs West Virginia – Betting Analysis

Duke’s Mayo Bowl Pick: UNC vs West Virginia – Betting Analysis

North Carolina Tar Heels (8-4 SU, ATS 5-4) vs West Virginia Mountaineers (8-4 SU, ATS 6-5)
Date: 5:30 EST Wednesday, December 27th
Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
TV: ESPN
Point Spread: UNC +5.5/WVU -5.5
Money Line: N. Carolina +168/W. Va -205
Over/Under: 56.5

The North Carolina Tar Heels and West Virginia Mountaineers matchup in the Duke’s Mayo Bowl at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC. On the Bowl Betting Board,  West Virginia is favored by  5.5 points and the total is listed at 56.5 points. 

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Head-to-Head Matchup:

The previous three head-head to matchups have gone in favor of North Carolina with a record of 2-1. North Carolina and West Virginia did not play last season. The teams split these games vs. the spread, each going 1-2. In terms of scoring, North Carolina and West Virginia averaged 61 points and finished with an over/under record of 3-0.

North Carolina Tar Heels Recent Form:

North Carolina’s overall record dropped to 8-4 after their most recent loss to NC State. The Tar Heels lost the game by a score of 39-20.

The over hit in this game as the pre-game over/under matchup was 55.5. On the point spread, North Carolina was handed a straight-up and ATS loss as they were favored by 2.5.

In their previous game, quarterback Drake Maye (skipping bowl game) attempted 38 passing attempts against NC State. He finished with 254 passing yards and a completion rate of 57.9%. Additionally, he threw two interceptions during the loss.

Not only did Drake Maye led the team in passing against NC State, but he was also North Carolina’s top rusher with 106 yards on 9 carries. On his five receptions, John Copenhaver finished with one touchdown and 64 yards.

North Carolina’s defense gave up 505 yards of offense vs. NC State. In the passing game, they allowed 334 yards while on the ground they gave up 171 yards. Coming into their matchup vs. West Virginia, the North Carolina defense is 106th in points allowed, giving up 27.1 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 242.3 passing yards per game against them (130th in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 164.6 rushing yards, which ranks them 111th in college football.

UNC Injury Report

 

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Drake Maye QB Player decision Out
Ben Kiernan P Lower Body Out
Nate McCollum WR Lower Body Questionable
Jacolbe Cowan DL Upper Body Out
Kobe Paysour WR Foot Out
Ryan Coe K Lower Body Out
George Pettaway RB Redshirt Out
Julien Randolph TE Lower Body Out
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